duminică, 14 noiembrie 2010

"Romania feels financial crisis mostly at expensive loan level!"

        The international financial crisis will be felt in Romania only on short term, the strongest impact being on more expensive loans and financing of large sums, on Monday said the CEO of the Romanian Commercial Bank (BCR), Dominic Bruynseel."Romania is isolated from the effects of the crisis. The increase of the key interest rate by the central bank protects the banks, which, anyway, are somewhat more conservative. The impact of the crisis will be felt only on short term and in particular on loan prices, which will be somewhat higher, and on larger borrowings," said Bruynseel.The BCR CEO supports the increase of the monetary policy rate by the National Bank of Romania (BNR) to 10.25% per annum and expects it to decrease with the inflation rate.On the other hand, the BCR CEO says that the real estate market will not have to suffer from the recent fall of apartment prices because "demand is still strong and will sustain the growth of the real estate market, which will adjust in the next period".

BCR opened 600 units

On Monday, the Romanian Commercial Bank (BCR) opened its unit number 600 of the 650 that the bank wants to open by the end of this year, announced bank representatives.The "Dimitrie Cantemir" agency is the 111th unit in Bucharest, and BCR spent 30,000 euros to arrange it. "BCR hired 160 employees for the 40 units opened this year," the BCR CEO Dominic Bruynseel said.By the end of 2009, the bank is willing to reach a network of 700 branches and agencies.The BCR financial group increased its net consolidated profit after taxation and payment of minority interests by 63.5% in the first half of the year, to 759.5 million lei (206.6 million), against the backdrop of a solid advance of the incomes from interests

Romania pension cut ruled illegal

              A top court in Romania has ruled out a pension cut demanded by the country's government as part of a deficit-cutting financial austerity measure.
The government wanted to cut state pensions by 15%, as well as slashing wages and welfare allowances.
But the Constitutional Court said the pension cut was unconstitutional, a ruling which cannot be appealed.
Romania wants to cut spending to qualify for a $20bn loan from the International Monetary Fund.
That may now be delayed, and this will be a big blow to the government of Prime Minister Emil Boc, the BBC's Nick Thorpe reports.
The court decision came after dozens of people tried to force their way into the presidential palace to get an audience with President Traian Basescu.
Riot police repelled them from the palace.
The court did not publish its reasoning behind the ruling, but unions say pensions partly funded by worker contributions to are protected by the constitution.
The austerity plan negotiated by the government with the IMF aimed to cut the national deficit from 7.2% of output to 6.8%.
Ministers hoped to achieve that by cutting pensions by 15% and wages by 25%.

Financial Crisis Leaves Romania Reeling

  In recent days, this once-booming country has been pounded by aftershocks from the global financial crisis. Speculators have attacked the local currency, the leu, betting that it would plunge in value. At one point last month, the stock market had dropped by 70 percent. By next year, some analysts predict, the jobless rate could double.

Like many of its East European neighbors, Romania is experiencing a sudden reversal of fortune. After years of record economic growth fueled by easy credit and heavy foreign investment, people here are bracing for a sharp slowdown that they hope does not turn into an outright crash.
Two of Romania's neighbors, Hungary and Ukraine, already have been forced to accept bailouts from the International Monetary Fund. Next-door Bulgaria, with a bulging current-account deficit, has troubles of its own. To the north, the Baltic states are also feeling a severe pinch, with consumers deeply in hock to stressed Scandinavian banks. The European Union, which many of the former Soviet satellite countries thought would bring them stability, hasn't offered much help.
"I'm afraid E.U. membership is not enough protection for Romania, Bulgaria and the Baltics," said Ilie Serbanescu, an economist and former government official. "The entire Romanian economy is in the hands of foreign companies. If the international situation is good, then it's no problem. But if the situation is not good, like now, we are in trouble."
Romanian officials have acknowledged some of their economic difficulties but said concerns about the country's stability are overblown. In an Oct. 22 speech, President Traian Basescu pinned the blame on "corrupt" outsiders.
"There were smart guys coming to Romania, who had studied at Harvard and Oxford, and they invented how to increase the value of one's shares without actually having money," he said.
Officials here have brushed aside talk of an IMF bailout, which would be a setback for a country that joined the E.U. just last year. They especially reject comparisons to Iceland, which has been hit so hard that bankrupt entrepreneurs are now looking for jobs as cod fishermen.
"I am sick and tired of comparing Romania to the Baltic states and Iceland. What do we have in common?" Mugur Isarescu, the governor of Romania's central bank, said in an interview. "This is the black part of globalization, the fact that you have all these ratings agencies and others putting together six or seven countries in the same boat."
At the same time, Isarescu and other officials said Romania has serious challenges to overcome.
The central bank has raised interest rates seven times in the past year. Last month, it was forced to intervene in the currency markets to prop up the leu, which traders were betting would collapse against the euro. "It was creating here a kind of panic," Isarescu said.
Romania plans to adopt the euro in 2014 but needs to meet a number of economic benchmarks before it can do so.
Romania's biggest problem is its current-account deficit: Far more money has been pouring into the country than going out. Much of the money comes from the estimated 2.5 million Romanians -- more than 10 percent of the population -- who work in countries such as Italy and Spain and send earnings back. But with those economies now suffering as well, many emigrants are expected to return home empty-handed.
                       
By Craig Whitlock
Washington Post Foreign Service
Wednesday, November 5, 2008

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/11/04/AR2008110403603.html